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Evaluating monetary policy rules under fundamental uncertainty: An info-gap approach


Highlights

We use info-gap theory to identify monetary policy rules that are robust to fundamental uncertainty.

The standard Taylor rule shows the most favourable trade-off between robustness and performance.

Taylor rules that include a credit spread or a debt-to-GDP ratio lead to less robust policy decisions.

Monetary policy should refrain from aiming at financial stability given the uncertain effects.

See full paper here.


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